Tuesday, February 9, 2010

What Are People Posting Numbers For On Facebook

happy or mischievous rabbit?

did you saw we see almost a tooth?!


is one of my creations of winter, a crush simple (there I not invent the beast is the model citronille that everyone can find in the timeless children) and I added the ears. So what's ears, you say?
Rabbit?
Sheep?
Lama?
Dahu?
Martian ?.......... I digress ........
is as you please, in all cases, the stunning model who has the hat any sweet-hot all is well just go "crane" with the village and make smile grandmas cake walk!

Monday, February 8, 2010

Does Raven Riley Have Any Std Or Aids

Bella's mittens or how to succumb to the weakness of the current fashion (5 min)


And yes, I fainted in front these pretty little things warm to wear at the end of the arms. I copied some bloggers tricopathes the web, and yes, I know myself I have left by the tragic romantic atmosphere of twilight, the book teen of the moment (and yes where are the great French?)
So it was pretty easy, just wire (50g mix alpaca feather, chocolate and frozen grapes to me) model available here, the advice by it, and maneuvering the magic- loop adopted, and voila.
I tried earlier in ballad * VERDICT
much nicer is efficient against the cold. The one deserves to be: have them made (they will be very pretty in my closet or at the feet of my daughter to play) unless I can find silk gloves to put in below!
Sailing Sailing, I think it's hotter in real wool very thick hair that is not the mixture of mythical drugstore is a bad idea in this case! Because there hello tab looks like my old aunt!

Sunday, February 7, 2010

Antibiotic Ciprolex Pregnancy

spoilers: Henry Kissinger, Friedman

Prior to the heads of Turkish protesters systematic, Henry Kissinger and Milton Friedman are two masters with oddly similar fates. Usually presented as two men of the System, will be shown here that this is nothing and that on the contrary, these two troublemakers were, each in their field, dethroned the conventional wisdom and prevented the expression of trends United States.

Immigrant and son of Jewish immigrants, some parties, achieved excellence, masters of their disciplines, the prince's advisers, admired their peers, they fought their separate ideas gained from their time, stood against the trends that we believe could be final: the Keynesian economics for an idealism in international relations to each other. One time they managed to turn the tide, to counteract the phenomenon of a side extension of the state and the tendency of economists to justify its intervention, on the other side of idealism in Western countries. These victories do should not last because the ideas they had thwarted deep roots and they opposed the demonstrations were erased with them.

One was awarded a Nobel Prize in Economics (1976), the other for peace (1973). Certainly one of these two prices is political (but not who you think).

Neither was interested in the discipline of another.

Milton Friedman has never written anything on diplomacy to my knowledge, neither prescribes a foreign policy doctrine.

As Kissinger presents a singular lack of responsiveness to ideas economic. Despite his great qualities we tend to see him in ignorance of the famous specialist who goes out of scope. In a rare excursion into economics, in his memoirs, he was convinced by the Pompidou's character would have catastrophic release of exchange rates ... For the record, he needed support in math when he was young.

The two advisors were of the same prince, Richard Nixon, but with a difference of obvious influence: Kissinger was damned soul; Friedman, whose ideas had not yet triomphées was instead often frustrated by the conduct Nixon: Policy inflation, price controls interim (by calculation demagogic and more). (Correction: not by the destruction of the gold standard as I mentioned in a previous version).

Both opérèrent a break today and it appears that they were not definitive and that the ordinary course of things was reattached.

I) Rupture of Milton Friedman

The paradigm to which Milton Friedman is opposed Keynesianism as everyone knows. A great advantage of this doctrine for politicians is that it justifies state intervention in the economic field. Rather than criminalizing Friedman the perverse effects of interventionism.

In particular, Friedman has criticized the policies based on an analysis of the Phillips curve, which asserts that political power has the power to arbitrate between unemployment and inflation (the Keynesian Phelps has also demonstrated the futility and negative such long-term policies).

The failure of Keynesian stimulation of the 70s and the inability to explain the phenomenon of stagflation (inflation and unemployment simultaneously) leads to the success of Friedman's monetarist theories. The party is over: the State should intervene less. Nevertheless

Friedman's theory, which requires a certain policy inaction, between door-to-step with the vocation of politics. Friedman is indirectly responsible for the establishment of independent central banks even if he personally opposed as not finding the Democratic measure. The state in turn is brought to continually expand its scope. And there was the closing of the divestment of its heritage.

II) The failure of Henry Kissinger

As shown by the famous epistemologist Karl Popper, a large bias runs the Western world: the belief in the character manifest the truth, which means that the truth stands before us and that is enough to remove barriers to seize it. To summarize: tails, this prejudice has our scientific development, opposite side: witch-hunting (in fact it is in modern times and not the Middle Ages that has burned more of the witches). This prejudice is reflected in political progressivism that encourages us to progress but has a deplorable tendency to blacken the past and blame.

Progressivism West manifests itself in two ways in the interpretation of international relations.

Outside the U.S.: the existence of evil, the lack of democracy and tyranny, we explain these phenomena, not by causes but by the endogenous action of a malicious entity. Now the U.S. is the most powerful country in the world. Since we do lend to the rich, the USA are regularly charged any disorder, coup and war (and even earthquakes). There are countless people who believe that having a critical means for keeping the U.S. guilty without evidence.

Inside the U.S.: progressivism embodied in the desire to expand the world economic system and politics is democracy, free markets, freedom of the press etc.. This translates into an idealistic foreign policy, that is to say, liberal in the vocabulary of international relations.

is this doctrine which leads to the interventions of the U.S. military abroad: involvement in the war of 14-18 is based on the ideal of the right of peoples to self-same, 39-45 is in the fight against Nazism, the commitments of the Cold War against communism.

optimistic view of this trend, there is the realist, intellectually brilliant but whose requirements are opposed to the underlying trends the country: there are Kennan (the author of the doctrine of containment, realistic in its prescription, idealistic in its execution), Morgenthau and Kissinger course.


When Kissinger became the adviser to President Richard Nixon, the country is already mired in the Vietnam War. It will continue the war as a withdrawal without a peace agreement would destroy the credibility of the United States from its allies during the Cold War. If

Kissinger will be able to conduct its policy realist, because American idealism is the ground: the sinking of the United States in the Vietnam War with its dead, its massacres, its scandals made doubt the United States. His people lose faith in the universality of its values. That time of My Lai , where it was discovered that the U.S. Army was an army like any other, no more heroic and sometimes disgusting. How can a just war could soon lead to the sadistic slaughter of a village?

This situation is untenable for the Left. The Democratic establishment in power dissolves suddenly disappears and Johnson does not even represent. Great depression. Public opinion began to turn. It is in these circumstances that Kissinger came to power under the wing of Nixon and then will conduct its policy. The festival is finite foreign countries do not want our armed imperialism of good intentions.

Kissinger meant to deal with non-democratic when it is in the interest of the country and the rapprochement with China as those who saw communist countries as a bloc could not imagine the ideology from the second plan, as well as the relative support for the South American dictatorships to prevent implantation of countries subject to Moscow - a fear that appears excessive in retrospect.

A realistic policy goal is not only the relative elevation of the country, it seeks the balance of power, not simply effect of these policies but a goal. It also aims to maintain an international order which is nothing to suggest that a different configuration would be better, besides the fact that his birth would not happen without convulsion.

Thus Kissinger noted that criticism of the Shah for its lack of democracy has resulted in the end a regime worse than to refer the responsibility of the Cambodian genocide to the anti-war, emphasized that a rigid application of principles is a source conflict.

But pushing the promotion of democratic ideals, Kissinger harbored suspicion against his country, suspected of acting for reasons reactionary or interested. He ate inside. It would indeed be a contradiction to see a fight there right / left. In reality this should be a straight shoot down idealism of the legacy of Kissinger: neoconservatism.

III) temporary disruptions

Friedman and Kissinger had won a battle, especially through their will and personality, but the trends they were fighting had deep roots: the intervention of the state and in Western idealism international relations phenomena are resilient. Both men had won a fight intellectual but trends remained. Their ideas would in turn be overturned. The vector of this reversal should not be debate. These were the passions that would lead the assault.

Kissinger had few allies, it was attacked by both the left and doves by the hawks of the right. They do not forgive him relax, which they interpreted as a retreat. In other words, Kissinger was faced with the idealism of the left and right! By attacking Kissinger, left, was felt to attack the right. In reality it provided ammunition for critics of Kissinger worst, the neoconservatives, whose doctrine command to export by force of arms if need democracy.

Kissinger is not forbidden, it was quickly taken for granted that what he was accused were true. Regardless of lack of evidence. In particular it appears to many people acquired the coup against Allende in 1973 bears the imprint of Kissinger. In fact his involvement has never been demonstrated that despite the vast amount of open archives. (This obsession to involve in my opinion reveals Kissinger's refusal to admit that this move has causes endogenous)

After a few years the neoconservatives took power and legacy of Kissinger was rejected. Idealism was back. Certainly one does not understand foreign policy of the United States if we do not want to see it is guided by idealism and not, as the fans believe the conspiracy theory, by material interests more or less secret. From Woodrow Wilson to George W Bush through Kennedy, the United States are the heralds of progressivism, liberalism and democracy. The United States has a military force that they want to use to improve the world and promote their values. It is promoting them they are looking and not material gain when they engage in Europe in 1917, in 1941, creating the United Nations, in adopting the doctrine of containment that requires them to intervene anywhere for that to fight evil absolute communism, trying the Iraq adventure to liquidate a socialist dictatorship and hope to reform the greater Middle East does not understand the mistrust and resistance they provoke. How many times does he repeat it?

As Friedman, it was decided that it was a big fan of South American dictatorships and the architect of privatization conducted through state terrorism see the thesis of the essay writer Naomi Klein. More generally it has been held for the financial architect of the configuration currently in crisis. To fell

Kissinger has been called cynical doctrine. To fell Friedman, said of his doctrine that it was undemocratic and vicious. Each time it was explained that these doctrines revealed the truth of the United States, accounted for his system, while not specifically they had neutralized the underlying trends of this country. Ruse of history, the overthrow of these doctrines are presented as a work of subversion when it was actually a reaction that allowed Return to the natural tendencies of the United States: idealism and interventionism.

loss of influence of the doctrines of the two men were found today: abysmal deficits and increasing state control over society on the one hand, wars in Iraq and Afghanistan to install democracy on the other.

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Smoke Grenades For Airsoft

Skirts everywhere!! The


So some time ago that I announced to have made a skirt from Burda. I put several Once made tournicoti several times too and I 've still not proved she was alive and well. So now here she is alive and well, it's on, the evidence verrrrry beautiful images (made in Valentin)
And then during my wanderings and webesques blogosphere, I came across this skirt, pretty no? Then I read the explanation, as does everything (yes, because sometimes I do not like, and good results!)
I used a cotton cloth, chambray color, a little stiff, but hey I would have preferred something more fluid, not serious. And the result is super nice. Well I will not wear it to go to work on because you look at me oddly (and must remain so in the track, unfortunately) but I sure the door Friday, I'll be on holiday, vacation and we do what we please (there is not until May!)

Monday, February 1, 2010

What To Wear To Ice Skating Date

The global warming debate rotten

There is currently a challenge to the consensus that global warming is a fact. Finally, "questioning" is saying a lot. Say that some fans have decided that global warming was the Trojan horse of statism.

A little ad hominem

Witness the number of complacency on Drieu Godefrid lemonde.fr:
The IPCC is dead, long live the debate! , charges against the "intellectual terrorism" and the arrogance of scientists. Perhaps the author does not he know that we like to open World forums for points of view to the best curry in the aftershocks that follow. At this game, the world rarely invites the best champion of the cause he wants to demolish.

What bothers me most is that the person is called liberal and lover of Hayek. Oculos habentes not videbunt. Would make it part of those silly liberals who see conspiracies everywhere statist, make a fixette on Islamofascism and love the neocons?

Enough ad hominem. Returning to the subject. What do we know about global warming?

Answer: on the one hand what we said and the other the knowledge of some phenomena that pose no debate such as melting glaciers and thousands of tropical species moving to areas believed to be colder.

Personally I did not consider the evidence of the climate debate. As the climate skeptics love to point out, there are many fake experts in this debate, wish to caution artificial just means that their opinion is that of others. I do not know, I say and I do not have to go have fun putting together my opinion myself. The search for truth ends of the amateur too often taking their bladders for lanterns.

If I did not know, I can still see something that is absolutely striking weakness of the argument climatosceptiques and its accompaniment by a powerful ideological interpretation.

The rationale of climatoscepticisme: very questionable data

climatosceptiques The argument focuses on multiple data it showed the total emptiness with reason (glaciers of the Himalayas curve of Al Gore, temperature readings impaired etc.). Far from seeing the necessary occurrence of error of fallible men, or simply to be humble in victory, she thinks it the beginning of a general forgery, which it will be a farce as you pull on the wire a knit to defeat him.

But in reality, despite all their efforts if the climate skeptics have been able to find these few facts on which they dwell, it is precisely because they can not find anything. They were in no way capable of reversing the general pattern of facts in favor of the theory of global warming climate.

However they did reveal several cases particularly lamentable lack of discipline among climatologists and are behind the downward revision of forecasts too many catastrophic. This must be credited to them.

The basis of irrational climatoscepticisme: suspicion policy

climatosceptiques Why have so many suspicions against the theory of global warming and convenience for the climatological conspiracy theory? Because there is something rotten in the debate on global warming, which is the ease with which the global warming theory lends itself to political interpretation.

lever criticism: millenarianism

Indeed, this theory has the features of a millenarian: the world's end is near (the temperature increases, we will be submerged), it is the consequence of your sins ( selfish consumers), adopt a more frugal life, throw your wealth, obey the prophets. Moreover, this theory is mixed easily with sentimentality (the poor countries will be hit first ... of course!), Low critical thinking (denial of any debate, hatred of dissent) and of course, and above all: the state (it must transform the planned economy system, trust us).

Although global warming is a correct theory, promoting it is not indifferent to some ideological considerations and it would be good for people to make serious diminishing of the household and other fun.

It is also remarkable that we felt as the announcement of a permanent disaster: what about the hole in the ozone layer? He made pshit. What about DDT? Influenza A? bird flu? From the financial crisis? Etc. What fuel suspicion.

Ideology of climate skeptics climate skeptics

The rest are not. Actually, they are more ideological in this story, you can say both that global warming does not exist and that global warming exists but does not have a human source ... The coincidence between the harm they award putative warming and cure state attributed to him is decisive in their belief so-called climate skeptics.

Treatment of fact is unable to refrain from ideological criticism: we're just so errors and excesses of those who support the existence of global warming to illustrate a phenomenon which it was decided that the causes were political.

amusing detail: even the climate skeptics who sneer at those who rely on speech to scientists at the IPCC they drink blogs to find out ...



Conclusion The relative success of the climate skeptics are at least critic is also positive: the confrontation will take place and a camp withdraw legitimacy. In the meantime he should not mix the causes and in particular does not involve the risk of climate skeptics question to other issues such as economic liberalism, as if a market economy was not able to cope with the challenge global warming where it is established.